Why is there basically
no plan to attack Iran?

Qodsna (Tehran) - In the new round of Vienna talks, the stress is on urgent "lifting sanctions" against Iran; and on the other hand, the increasing pressure is also fading, which is of great concern to the Zionist regime. 

For several years, the possibility of an attack on Iran by the United States and Israel has been discussed in Western media. The United States has repeatedly bragged about this matter and it was constantly heard: "The military option about Iran is on the table." But as some American figures have pointed out, when it is officially announced that "the military option is on the table" and when it is repeatedly stated, it means that "there is no military option at all."

Over the past two years, the United States has stopped discussing the "military option" about Iran, and it has given way to "other options." US officials have also explicitly stated that they do not mean military options by talking about "other options", and they have insisted that "the only" solution to their problems with Iran is "diplomacy" with increasing pressure on Iran.

In the new round of Vienna talks, the stress is on urgent "lifting sanctions" against Iran; and on the other hand, the increasing pressure is also fading, which is of great concern to the Zionist regime.

Experts believe that the Zionists are deeply concerned that Iran has taken the initiative in the Vienna talks and that the parties in the talks with Iran are "unable to step outside the framework of the Iran initiative" for various reasons. As a result, they pursue a series of moves to impact the talks. The threat of attacking Iran's nuclear facilities is at the forefront of these movements, which have been repeatedly raised by Israeli officials in recent days. Of course, the aggressive tone has not gone unanswered by Iranian political and military officials, and they explicitly pointed to the "fulfillment" of Imam Khomeini's religious, political, and national order that "Israel must be eliminated from the face of the earth" in case of any stupid action by the Zionists.

But the fact is that neither the United States, nor Israel, nor any regime can attack Iran, and there is no such thing in their strategies. It raises a big question about its reasons.

1-Iran is a vast country with a population of about 85 million people with a revolutionary spirit that is willing to pay the necessary costs for its goals and ideals.

2-The Islamic system is based on the will of the people, and unlike all existing systems in the world, the people have the greatest possible role in decision-making areas. The Assembly of Experts is chosen by the people. Iran’s Parliament is elected by the people. President is elected by the people. City and village administrative councils are elected by the people. Mayors are elected by the people. Although there are problems in the field of executive management and are protested and demanded by the people, this does not mean the people are cut off from the system. Therefore, relying on the support of the people, the system pursues the lofty goals and ideals of Iran. This is called national solidarity unlike in Afghanistan, where the Taliban militias seized power by force and the majority of the people opposed it. This is an issue that made the US invasion and occupation of this country costless. Also, the current situation in Iran makes it different from Iraq under Saddam Hussein. The Ba'athist government had virtually no popular base due to its heavy dictatorship against the people, and the people in the north and south had revolted against the dictatorship. Therefore, attacking it and occupying it did not cost anything. However, later in both Afghanistan and Iraq, with the formation of popular resistance, the occupation continued to be costly.

3- The national solidarity in Iran, along with the expansion of its military capability, has turned the country into power not only regionally but beyond. Iran’s Military capability is mainly based on indigenous knowledge, and this military independence is a guarantee for further growth and increase of national security and solidarity.

4- The possibility of occupying Iran like what happened in Afghanistan and Iraq is inconceivable because Iranian society is a revolutionary and powerful society and will not allow this. Even the occupation of part of Iran's geography can not be considered.

5- So the only issue that remains is to carry out attacks on certain centers in the geography of Iran. However, given the process of historical revival of Iranian-Islamic civilization that began with the Islamic Revolution in Iran, and considering that Iran is playing its historical role in the direction of generational and historical demands, the enemies know that Iran can not be passive against attacks on its interests. Therefore, a reaction by Iran is certain and serious. But the question is, what is the scope of this reaction and what are its limits? There is no doubt that the people's demand from a system based on the will of a revolutionary and Islamic society is not a limited response, but their demand is the "final blow." Therefore, if Iran’s interests are attacked, the idea that Iran will suffice for a limited reaction and will pursue a ceasefire with the aggressor, like what has happened in Gaza or Lebanon, or even by the Syrian government, is a fatal mistake.

6- Iran's reaction power should not be limited to Iran, but Iran's regional allies, which are referred to as the "resistance axis" or "resistance front", are thirsty to enter the stage of the "final blow. The resistance front has repeatedly emphasized that they are looking for an opportunity to enter this stage. In addition to these capabilities, the potential for popular uprisings in the region will increase, which will target the interests of the United States and Israel and their allies in the region and the world. The possible uprisings can not be suppressed, especially in the region because the repression mechanisms will be out of the equation in the initial attacks of Iran.

7-However, given Iran's intelligence aristocracy over the movements of its enemies in the region, changing Iran's military strategy from defensive to the offensive as well as preemptive, it is unlikely that its enemies will be able to attack Iran. However, the Iranian intelligentsia has demanded that Iran's intelligence and military structure be fully integrated and fully prepared.

8-The enemies of Iran know well and if they do not know, they should know that the Iranian society has defined its past in Karbala and Ashura and has drawn its future in the Mahdavi government and the path from the past to the future is realized with "martyrdom". A society whose past is Ashura and whose future is "Mahdavi justice" whose chosen path is martyrdom is destined to dynamism and victory, and no power can control it.

Writer: Ahmad Reza Roohallahzad

Ahmad Reza Roohallahzad is a Middle East affairs expert based in Tehran

News-ID: SH-60