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Olmert's choices after corruption scandal


Sirus Shirzad: Zionist regime's Prime Minister Ehud Olmert was charged with bribery after U.S.  Morris Talansky's gave testimony verifying the charges, leading to demands for the premier's resignation. While opposition groups are seeking fortunes to play the big game hunter, Olmert's days as a Prime Minister are numbered

Olmert's choices have narrowed, both inside his Kadima Party and within the coalition government. Accordingly, three scenarios may wait for Olmert.

According to Yedioth Ahronoth, the first choice is Olmert's refusal to resign which eventually leads to two tracks: two or three weeks after Olmert insists on staying in office, Barak might choose to withdraw from the coalition and try to topple Olmert's government in cooperation with the opposition.

This will mean coordination with Likud to get the Knesset to ratify a decision to hold early elections and that could take four to five months. According to the report, this is the most likely choice.

The second track if Olmert insists on staying in office is an internal coup from within the Kadima party against Olmert's leadership. In fact, a number of members of the Knesset from Kadima are planning to carry out that coup. They are threatening to quit Kadima altogether, leaving the party short of a parliamentary majority, and that will eventually enable the Knesset to ratify early elections. This second choice is the least expected.

The second scenario, according to Yedioth, is that Olmert resigns under popular pressure or the pressures caused by a bill of indictment filed against him.

This scenario has two other tracks too. The first one is early elections if the religious party Shas and the Labour Party fail to compose a new government to replace Olmert's government. This will force the Knesset to keep Olmert in office until elections are held. Yedioth considers this track a weak one.

The other track suggests that Kadima and the Labour party might agree to compose a replacement cabinet in order to remain in power and prevent Netanyahu's rise to power.

The third and last of Olmert's choices is a temporary suspension as Prime Minister. According to the Zionist regime's law, he can do that for not more than three months. During this period, he will try to fight the legal battle and defend himself without abandoning his post completely. The problem with this scenario lies in the relatively short period he can do this compared with the long period that such legal procedures take.

If Olmert were to choose that option, foreign minister Tzipi Livni will replace him as acting prime minister until he or a new prime minister takes office. This is the least likely scenario.




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